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06.15.22 | Price Clawing Its Way Back to 3800

June 15June 15 ~ Stephen Harlin, MD

[3:45 PM]  GEX-ExpMove Algorithm + Hedging Bands

3800 is the lower boundary for the week’s Expected Move and the lower margin of a hedging band that would contribute to rebalancing needs.

06.15.22 | Another Indication of the Onset of a Secular Bear

June 15 ~ Stephen Harlin, MD

Negative today.

06.15.22 | FedWatch 99.7% Certain of 75bps but Implied 50bps?

June 15June 15 ~ Stephen Harlin, MD

Image

[2:15PM]

06.15.22 | Today’s GDPNow Forecast Down from 0.9 to Zero

June 15June 15 ~ Stephen Harlin, MD

 

GDPNow provides a “nowcast” (forecast) of the official estimate of GDP … prior to the official release, using a methodology similar to the one used by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Today, that forecast is 0.

06.15.22 | Silver leads Gold

June 15June 15 ~ Stephen Harlin, MD

[1:00 PM]. What’s interesting about this table is what lies at the downside.   FOMC days always make vol traders anxious.

Post-FOMC Announcement
[3:00PM]

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